Title: The Propensity to Cycle Tool: An open source online system for sustainable transport planning
Organisation: University of Westminster & University of Leeds
Date uploaded: 7th June 2017
Date published/launched: December 2016
Following a brief review of the policy and research context related to this question, this paper describes the design, features and potential applications of such a tool.
The Propensity to Cycle Tool (PCT) is an online, interactive planning support system that was initially developed to explore and map cycling potential across England. Based on origin-destination data it models cycling levels at area, desire line, route and route network levels, for current levels of cycling, and for scenario-based ‘cycling futures.’
Four scenarios are presented, including ‘Go Dutch’ and ‘Ebikes,’ which explore what would happen if English people had the same propensity to cycle as Dutch people and the potential impact of electric cycles on cycling uptake. The cost effectiveness of investment depends not only on the number of additional trips cycled, but on wider impacts such as health and carbon benefits.
The PCT reports these at area, desire line, and route level for each scenario. The PCT is open source, facilitating the creation of scenarios and deployment in new contexts. The PCT illustrates the potential of online tools to inform transport decisions and raises the wider issue of how models should be used in transport planning.
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